Satellite assessment of eutrophication hot spots and algal blooms in small and medium-sized productive reservoirs in Uruguay's main drinking water basin.

Intensive agricultural activities favor eutrophication and harmful phytoplankton blooms due to the high export of nutrients and damming of rivers. Productive watersheds used for water purification can have multiple reservoirs with phytoplankton blooms, which constitutes a high health risk. In general, water quality monitoring does not cover small- and medium-sized reservoirs (0.25-100 ha) of productive use due to their large number and location in private properties. In this work, the in situ trophic state of fourteen reservoirs was simultaneously assessed using Sentinel-2 images in the Santa Lucía River Basin, the main drinking water basin in Uruguay. These reservoirs are hypereutrophic (0.18-5.22 mg total P L-1) with high phytoplankton biomasses (2.8-4439 µg chlorophyll-a L-1), mainly cyanobacteria. Based on data generated in situ and Sentinel-2 imagery, models were fitted to estimate satellite Chl-a and transparency in all the basin reservoirs (n = 486). The best fits were obtained with the green-to-red band ratio (560 and 665 nm, R2 = 0.84) to estimate chlorophyll-a and reflectance at 833 nm (R2 = 0.73) to determine transparency. The spatial distribution of the trophic state was explored by spatial autocorrelation and hotspot analysis, and the variation in spatial patterns could be determined prior and subsequent to a maximum cyanobacteria value in water treatment plant intakes. Therefore, reservoirs with greater potential for phytoplankton biomass export were identified. This work provides the first fitted tool for satellite monitoring of numerous reservoirs and strengthens the country's ability to respond to harmful phytoplankton blooms in its main drinking water basin.

Prevalence and Molecular Mechanisms of Carbapenem Resistance among Gram-Negative Bacilli in Three Hospitals of Northern Lebanon.

Carbapenem resistance (CR) is an emerging health issue. Epidemiological surveys on carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacilli (CR-GNB) in Lebanon remain scarce. In this study, we determined the prevalence of CR-GNB isolated between 2015 to 2019 in three hospitals in northern Lebanon: 311 CR-Enterobacterales (out of 11210; 2.8%), 155 CR-Pseudomonas (out of 1034; 15%) and 106 CR- Acinetobacter (out of 184; 57.6%) were identified. CR mechanisms were determined for 146 randomly chosen isolates: the Carba NP test revealed an enzymatic resistance to carbapenems in 109 isolates (out of 146, 74.7%). Produced carbapenemases were evaluated by the NG-Test Carba5, NG-Test OXA-23 immunochromatographic assays and PCR. Carbapenemase-producing (CP) Enterobacterales expressed blaOXA-48-like, blaNDM-like and blaVIM-like genes and CP-Pseudomonas expressed blaIMP-like and blaVIM-like genes, whereas CP-Acinetobacter expressed blaOXA-23-like genes. The NG-Test Carba5 results were confirmed by PCR sequencing and revealed several variants, such as NDM-19, VIM-62 and OXA-162, never described so far in Lebanon. Isolates with discordant results were sequenced by WGS and highlighted novel variants of the natural oxacillinases of Pseudomonas aeruginosa: blaOXA-50-like genes. Their role in carbapenem resistance should be further studied. Overall, our findings highlight an alarming situation and encourage health care centers to establish performant registration systems that could help in limiting resistance spread.

Seroprevalence of Helicobacter pylori among dyspeptic patients in northern Lebanon: a 6-year retrospective study in two tertiary hospitals.

Helicobacter pylori causes chronic gastritis and plays a significant role in duodenal/gastric ulcer disease and gastric cancer. Its prevalence varies among different populations and geographical areas. Here, in a hospital-based retrospective study, we investigated the seroprevalence of H. pylori infection in northern Lebanon. We examined the records of 4000 consecutive dyspeptic patients attending 2 tertiary care centres in the North (Tripoli) and Akkar (Halba) governorates. Seropositivity for H. pylori was determined using enzyme immunoassays investigating specific anti- H. pylori IgG antibodies. The association of infection with the available patients' demographic characteristics was also evaluated. The mean age of our study population was 36.9±16.6 years. With 2486 female and 1514 male subjects, the overall female/male ratio was 1.64. In total, H. pylori seropositivity was detected in 1367/4000 (34.2 %) tested individuals. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that H. pylori infection is less prevalent in female than in male examined patients [adjusted odds ratio (OR): 0.84; 95 % confidence interval (CI): 0.73-0.96; P<0.013]. Seroprevalence gradually increased with age - from 14.6 % in patients below 18 years to 42.9 % in those above 49 years - and was significantly higher among Akkar patients compared to those from the North governorate: 49.6 versus 28.7 %, respectively (P<0.001). Overall, a third of symptomatic patients in northern Lebanon are infected with H. pylori . However, the prevalence of infection was markedly different in close geographical zones in this region. Additional screening studies using different screening methods are needed in the future to determine the accurate prevalence of this bacterium and its clinical implications to establish efficient national intervention strategies.

Cytokine/Chemokine Release Patterns and Transcriptomic Profiles of LPS/IFNγ-Activated Human Macrophages Differentiated with Heat-Killed Mycobacterium obuense, M-CSF, or GM-CSF.

Macrophages (Mφs) are instrumental regulators of the immune response whereby they acquire diverse functional phenotypes following their exposure to microenvironmental cues that govern their differentiation from monocytes and their activation. The complexity and diversity of the mycobacterial cell wall have empowered mycobacteria with potent immunomodulatory capacities. A heat-killed (HK) whole-cell preparation of Mycobacterium obuense (M. obuense) has shown promise as an adjunctive immunotherapeutic agent for the treatment of cancer. Moreover, HK M. obuense has been shown to trigger the differentiation of human monocytes into a monocyte-derived macrophage (MDM) type named Mob-MDM. However, the transcriptomic profile and functional properties of Mob-MDMs remain undefined during an activation state. Here, we characterized cytokine/chemokine release patterns and transcriptomic profiles of lipopolysaccharide (LPS)/interferon γ (IFNγ)-activated human MDMs that were differentiated with HK M. obuense (Mob-MDM(LPS/IFNγ)), macrophage colony-stimulating factor M-MDM(LPS/IFNγ)), or granulocyte/macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-MDM(LPS/IFNγ)). Mob-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) demonstrated a unique cytokine/chemokine release pattern (interleukin (IL)-10low, IL-12/23p40low, IL-23p19/p40low, chemokine (C-x-C) motif ligand (CXCL)9low) that was distinct from those of M-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) and GM-MDM(LPS/IFNγ). Furthermore, M-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) maintained IL-10 production at significantly higher levels compared to GM-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) and Mob-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) despite being activated with M1-Mφ-activating stimuli. Comparative RNA sequencing analysis pointed to a distinct transcriptome profile for Mob-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) relative to both M-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) and GM-MDM(LPS/IFNγ) that comprised 417 transcripts. Functional gene-set enrichment analysis revealed significant overrepresentation of signaling pathways and biological processes that were uniquely related to Mob-MDM(LPS/IFNγ). Our findings lay a foundation for the potential integration of HK M. obuense in specific cell-based immunotherapeutic modalities such as adoptive transfer of Mφs (Mob-MDM(LPS/IFNγ)) for cancer treatment.

Hotspot analysis of spatial distribution of algae blooms in small and medium water bodies.

Intensive land use favors eutrophication processes and algae bloom proliferation in freshwaters, which is considered to be one of the main environmental issues worldwide. In general, and particularly in South America, inland water monitoring only covers the main water bodies due to the high costs and efforts involved. In order to improve the coverage of spatial and temporal of algae bloom monitoring, remote sensing serves as an alternative tool. Thereby, the analysis of significant spatial clusters of high values (hotspots) and low values (coldspots) of chlorophyll-a has been applied in coastal studies; however, at present, there are no studies in freshwaters. In this study, Getis-Ord Gi* hotspot analysis was applied to detect spatial distribution patterns of algae bloom dynamics in small- and medium-sized freshwater bodies. Four in situ samplings were carried out in five suburban lakes of Uruguay, in agreement with the satellite capture. Total and cyanobacterial chlorophyll-a concentration, and suspended solids were evaluated. Linear models were developed by combining pre-established indexes with additional Sentinel-2 spectral bands and in situ data. The relationship between red and red edge regions allowed mapping the chlorophyll-a in the study lakes with an adjustment of R2 = 0.83. Hotspot analysis was performed with the selected linear model, and significant chlorophyll-a variability within each lake was successfully detected. The novel application of hotspots analyses presented in this work represents a contribution to advance knowledge in the remote detection of algae bloom dynamics and improve monitoring capabilities of inland water bodies.

Environmental health compromised by a new epidemic. The case of Uruguay, COVID-19 / La salud ambiental comprometida por una nueva epidemia. El caso de Uruguay, COVID-19

Abstract Uruguay is in South America. It has 3,286,314 inhabitants, 1.6% of which lacks comprehensive health insurance. Detected cases of COVID-19 represent 0.022% of the population, 2.6% of which has resulted in death. Mortality from COVID-19 is 0.6% per 100,000 inhabitants, and health workers represent 14% of detected cases. The country is slowly coming out of intensified social distancing. This article reports on accumulated, recovered, and active cases. The authors also frame the causes of this zoonosis in terms of an environmental health problem, and thus a global health problem, requiring a "one health" approach. Human activity has changed natural habitats as a result of extraction activities, increased urbanization, growing populations, different cultural practices, and socioeconomic conditions. This contributes to the emergence of zoonoses, particularly RNA viruses. If the cause of this phenomenon is not addressed, we will continue facing increasing challenges.

Resumen Uruguay se ubica en Sudamérica con una población de 3.286.314 habitantes. El 1,6% no tiene seguro integral de salud. Los casos detectados de COVID 19 representan el 0,022 % de la población. Las muertes con relación a los casos detectados representan el 2,6%. La mortalidad por COVID-19 es de 0,6 por cien mil habitantes. El 14 % de los detectados corresponden a personal de salud. Paulatinamente el país está saliendo del aislamiento social. En el artículo se muestran los casos acumulados, recuperados y activos. Los autores enmarcan las causas de esta zoonosis en un problema de Salud Ambiental y por lo tanto Global, dentro del enfoque "una sola salud". El hombre ha ocupado los suelos de forma extractiva, con urbanización creciente, creciente número de población, diferentes prácticas culturales y condiciones socio-económicas, que han modificado los hábitat naturales. Esto favorece la aparición de zoonosis emergentes y en particular virus con genoma RNA. Si no se atiende a la causalidad del fenómeno, seguiremos asistiendo a desafíos cada vez mayores.

Assessing the origin of a massive cyanobacterial bloom in the Río de la Plata (2019): Towards an early warning system.

The Río de la Plata estuary drains the second largest river basin of South America. The occurrence of frequent cyanobacterial blooms of the Microcystis and Dolichospermum complex in the Uruguayan coast are associated with high flows of Uruguay River due to rainy years. In summer 2019, a massive cyanobacterial bloom reached up to the Uruguayan Atlantic coast. This study seeks to unveil the origin and the environmental conditions that favored the occurrence of the last cyanobacterial bloom in the Río de la Plata, and to contribute with the development of an early warning system of cyanobacterial scum on Montevideo beaches. A complementary approach was applied with Sentinel-2 imagery, environmental data of monitoring programs of Salto Grande Reservoir and Montevideo beaches, hydro-meteorological information, and hydroelectric dam operation. Images were analyzed with the Normalized Difference Chlorophyll Index (NDCI), which allowed evaluating several water bodies within the same ranges. Positive anomalous rainfall increased river flows, particularly that of Uruguay and Negro rivers, which caused the opening of the dam spillways. NDCI maps showed that areas with high values (NDCI>0.06) in Salto Grande reservoir kept a similar surface area before and after the prolonged overflow period (8.7-7.8 km2, before and after). In the Río Negro reservoirs, however, NDCI>0.06 coverage remarkably changed (62.5 km2, Palmar reservoir), with a subsequent 56-fold reduction in the post-discharge of surface water. Twenty days after opening the spillways, Montevideo beaches were closed to swimming and the NDCI>0.06 surface reached 51.7 km2 in the Río de la Plata coast. The dynamics of NDCI areas, the downstream bloom discharge, and the predicted Río de la Plata residual currents, suggest that the cyanobacterial bloom originated in the Negro River (Palmar reservoir). This bloom event was one of the worst that occurred in the Río de la Plata in last 20 years, circulated along the Uruguayan sub-corridor to the Atlantic coast along 690 km from its origin, and lasted three months on Montevideo coast. This is the first study that addresses the impact of cyanobacterial blooms from the Negro River reservoirs on the Río de la Plata estuary. Therefore, the Negro River basin is where the main efforts should be directed to mitigate massive cyanobacterial blooms.

Challenges in identification of enteroinvasive Escherichia coli and Shigella spp. in Lebanon.

This study aimed to evaluate the routine identification tools available in Lebanon for differentiation of Escherichia coli and Shigella spp. The identification of 43 isolates defined as Shigella spp. by Api 20E was accessed using MALDI-TOF, serological testing, duplex PCR targeting ipaH (present in Shigella spp. and enteroinvasive E. coli "EIEC") and lacY (found in E. coli including EIEC but not Shigella spp.) as well as gyrB gene sequencing. Antibiotic susceptibility was investigated as well as Shiga-toxin production. All isolates were identified as E. coli by MALDI-TOF while the PCR showed a disparate group of 26 EIEC, 11 Shigella spp., 5 E. coli and 1 inactive E. coli. However, the sequencing of gyrB gene, which was recently described as a suitable marker for distinguishing E. coli and Shigella spp., identified all isolates as E. coli. Antibiotic resistance was noticeable against ß-lactams, rifampicin, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole, gentamicin, and ciprofloxacin. The most common variants of beta-lactamase genes were blaTEM-1, blaCTX-M-15, and blaCTX-M-3. A great discordance between the used methods in identification was revealed herein. An accurate identification technique able to distinguish E. coli from Shigella spp. in routine laboratories is a pressing need in order to select the appropriate treatment and assess the epidemiology of these bacteria.

Evaluation of different testing tools for the identification of non-gonococcal Neisseria spp. isolated from Lebanese male semen: a strong and significant association with infertility.

PURPOSE: The aim was to evaluate several microbiological tools for the identification of non-gonococcal Neisseria spp. isolated from semen samples from Lebanese men and to determine the putative link between the presence of Neisseria commensal species and infertility. METHODOLOGY: Within a cross-sectional retrospective study design, the whole population included in this investigation was divided in 2 categories: 173 patients with symptoms of infertility and 139 patients with normal seminograms. Epidemiological and microbiological investigations were performed for 59 strains of Neisseria through several phenotypic and genotypic tools, including seminograms, an analytical profile index of Neisseria and Haemophilus (API-NH), matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF MS), porA PCR, 16S rRNA and rplF gene sequencing, and antimicrobial susceptibility testing. RESULTS: The risk of Neisseria infection was twice as high in infertile patients compared to the control group [odds ratio (OR): 1.95, confidence interval (CI): 1.05-3.65, P =0.03]. Unreliable diagnosis of Neisseria urogenital infection has serious health and social consequences. Our findings showed that API-NH and 16S rRNA sequencing are poor tools to identify Neisseria at the species level. Therefore, reliable diagnosis of cases using MALDI-TOF MS and/or rplF sequencing is needed to provide critical treatment decisions and prevent antimicrobial resistance spreading in the community. CONCLUSION: This work predicted a strong and significant association between the presence of Neisseria spp. in semen and male infertility among the Lebanese population. For a better understanding of this association, it is recommended that more genomic and large-scale epidemiological investigations are undertaken to reach definitive conclusions.

Analysis of scientific production on glyphosate: An example of politicization of science.

Glyphosate is one of the most used herbicides worldwide. However there still exists a strong debate about its effects on the environment or people health. In this context, the metric analysis is a methodology increasingly used to quantify and evaluate the scope of the scientific production around a specific topic. The goal of this work was to characterize the context of knowledge generation about glyphosate. All the scientific production linked to glyphosate was analyzed in the period from 1974 to 2016, using the Web of Science (WOS) as a source of information and "glyphosate" as a search criterion. A total of 8174 records were found. The bibliographic production on this herbicide experienced a sustained increase. There was a concentration in knowledge generation led by the United States. Monsanto Company produced the largest number of articles during the first thirty years of the development of this topic. Research around glyphosate in South America gained importance as of the year 2000, with Brazil being the country with the highest production followed by Argentina. A large proportion of research was focused on agricultural science, while the analysis of toxicology or environmental effects did not begin until the year 2000, and it is still insufficient.

Defining Genome-Wide Expression and Phenotypic Contextual Cues in Macrophages Generated by Granulocyte/Macrophage Colony-Stimulating Factor, Macrophage Colony-Stimulating Factor, and Heat-Killed Mycobacteria.

Heat-killed (HK) Mycobacterium obuense (NCTC13365) is currently being evaluated in the clinic as an immunotherapeutic agent for cancer treatment. Yet, the molecular underpinnings underlying immunomodulatory properties of HK M. obuense are still largely undefined. To fill this void, we sought to perform immunophenotyping, chemokine/cytokine release analysis and genome-wide characterization of monocyte-derived macrophages (MDM) in which monocytes were originally isolated from healthy donors and differentiated by HK M. obuense (Mob-MDM) relative to macrophage colony-stimulating factor (M-MDM) and granulocyte/macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-MDM). Immunophenotyping and cytokine release analysis revealed downregulated surface expression of CD36, decreased spontaneous release of CCL2 and increased spontaneous secretion of CCL5, CXCL8/IL-8, IL-6, and TNF-α in Mob-MDM relative to M-MDM and GM-MDM. Analysis of cytostatic activity showed that Mob-MDM exhibited similar growth inhibitory effects on immortalized and malignant epithelial cells compared with GM-MDM but at an elevated rate relative to M-MDM. To understand global cues in Mob-MDM, we performed comparative RNA-sequencing (RNA-Seq) analysis of Mob-MDM relative to GM-MDM and M-MDM (n = 4 donors). Clustering analysis underscored expression profiles (n = 256) that were significantly modulated in Mob-MDM versus both M-MDM and GM-MDM including, among others, chemokines/cytokines and their receptors, enzymes and transcriptions factors. Topological functional analysis of these profiles identified pathways and gene sets linked to Mob-MDM phenotype including nitric oxide production, acute phase response signaling and microbe recognition pathways as well as signaling cues mediated by the proinflammatory cytokine, interferon-gamma, and the intracellular pattern recognition receptor, nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-containing protein 2. Taken together, our study highlights molecular immune phenotypes and global signaling cues in Mob-MDM that may underlie immunomodulatory properties of HK M. obuense. Such properties could be of valuable use in immunotherapy approaches such as adoptive cell therapy against cancer.

Immunomodulatory effects of heat-killed Mycobacterium obuense on human blood dendritic cells.

Heat-killed (HK) Mycobacterium obuense is a novel immunomodulator, currently undergoing clinical evaluation as an immunotherapeutic agent in the treatment of cancer. Here, we examined the effect of in vitro exposure to HK M. obuense on the expression of different categories of surface receptors on human blood myeloid (m) and plasmacytoid (p) DCs. Moreover, we have characterized the cytokine and chemokine secretion patterns of purified total blood DCs stimulated with HK M. obuense. HK M. obuense significantly up-regulated the expression of CD11c, CD80, CD83, CD86, CD274 and MHC class II in whole-blood mDCs and CD80, CD123 and MHC class II in whole-blood pDCs. Down-regulation of CD195 expression in both DC subpopulations was also noted. Further analysis showed that HK M. obuense up-regulated the expression of CD80, CD83 and MHC class II on purified blood DC subpopulations. TLR2 and TLR1 were also identified to be engaged in mediating the HK M. obuense-induced up-regulation of surface receptor expression on whole blood mDCs. In addition, our data demonstrated that HK M. obuense augmented the secretion of CCL4, CCL5, CCL22, CXCL8, IL-6, IL-12p40 and TNF-α by purified total blood DCs. Taken together, our data suggest that HK M. obuense exerts potent differential immunomodulatory effects on human DC subpopulations.

Molecular detection of genes responsible for macrolide resistance among Streptococcus pneumoniae isolated in North Lebanon.

In recent years, the increased use of macrolides was linked with the emergence of resistance Streptococcus pneumoniae worldwide. The main aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of S. pneumoniae resistant to macrolides and to identify the macrolide resistance genotypes among clinical isolates collected in North Lebanon. Disk diffusion susceptibility method was performed for 132 strains of S. pneumoniae isolated over a period of 5 years in North Lebanon. Polymerase Chain Reaction followed by pyrosequencing was carried out for confirmation of phenotypic diagnosis. The macrolide resistance genotypes were also identified by using PCR amplification of genes implicated in this resistance: erm(A), erm(B), erm(C), msr(A), lin(A) and mef(A/E). Macrolide resistance was found in 34.1% of S. pneumoniae isolates. We observed that the cMLSB phenotype (31/45, 68.9%) was the most common in these pneumococci and erm(B) was the most common resistance gene (32/45, 71.1%). This study shows that macrolide resistance in S. pneumoniae in North Lebanon is mainly related to target site modification with predominance of cMLSb phenotype but is also mediated by efflux pumps. lin(A) gene was reported for the first time in one S. pneumoniae strain in combination with erm(B) and mef(A/E) genes.

Prevalence, antibiotic susceptibility and characterization of antibiotic resistant genes among carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacilli and yeast in intestinal flora of cancer patients in North Lebanon.

The emergence and spread of carbapenem-resistant bacteria are a significant clinical and public health concern. The aim of the study is to determine the prevalence of intestinal carriage of carbapenem-resistant bacteria and yeasts in cancer patients under chemotherapy. 41 stool samples collected from cancer patients in Nini hospital in Tripoli, North Lebanon have been analyzed. After isolating yeasts and carbapenem-resistant bacteria, a biochemical identification and antimicrobial susceptibility profile were determined. The mechanism of enzymatic carbapenem-resistance was detected by searching for carbapenemases by both Hodge test and PCR assays. The association of several mechanisms of resistance was also searched. 46.3% (19/41) of patients were colonized by yeast. Candida glabrata (6/19) was the major species. The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant bacteria was 24.4% (10/41) including Escherichia coli (5/10), Enterobacter cloacae (1/10), Enterobacter aerogenes (1/10) Edwardsiella hoshinae (1/10) Pantoea agglomerans (1/10) and Pseudomonas stutzeri (1/10). PCR and sequencing of the amplified fragments revealed that Pseudomonas stutzeri (1/1) carried VIM gene and Enterobacter aerogenes (1/1) and E. coli (1/5) carried OXA-48 gene. The other Enterobacteriaceae were resistant to carbapenems by mechanisms other than a carbapenemase including hyperproduction of cephalosporinase (4/10), extended spectrum beta-lactamases (1/10) and both cephalosporinase and extended spectrum beta-lactamases (2/10). High prevalence of intestinal carriage of carbapenem-resistant bacteria and yeasts were detected in cancer patients under chemotherapy. In order to prevent the development of endogenous infection and the dissemination of antimicrobial resistance, an implementation of antibiotic stewardship programs and infection control measures is required in hospitals particularly in the department of chemotherapy.

[Monitoring the Paraguayan epidemiological dengue surveillance system (2009-2011) using Benford's law].

INTRODUCTION: Dengue is the most widespread arbovirus worldwide. In Paraguay, it reappeared in 1988-1989, with one of the largest epidemic outbreaks occurring in 2011. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of the dengue epidemiological surveillance system in Paraguay between 2009 and 2011. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted an ecological study with secondary epidemiological surveillance data. We analyzed notified cases of the disease based on the distribution expected by Benford's law. To this end, we used the first and second digits from the global records stratified by region, season, population density, indicators of housing conditions and heads of cattle. RESULTS: The epidemiological surveillance system performed better during non-epidemic periods and in the states with better housing conditions and fewer heads of cattle. CONCLUSION: Given that a difference in the performance existed, we recommended that the system remains operating at the same high alert level even during periods when fewer cases are expected. The technology used by the method proposed to monitor the notification of cases is easy to transfer to operational staff.

Monitoring the Paraguayan epidemiological dengue surveillance system (2009-2011) using Benford's law

ABSTRACT Introducción. El dengue es la principal arbovirosis en el mundo. En Paraguay reapareció en 1988-1989, y en el 2011 se produjo uno de los mayores brotes epidémicos. Objetivo. Evaluar el desempeño del sistema de vigilancia epidemiológica del dengue en Paraguay entre 2009 y 2011. Materiales y métodos. Se hizo un estudio ecológico basado en datos secundarios de la vigilancia epidemiológica. Con base en la distribución esperada según la ley de Benford, se analizaron los casos notificados de la enfermedad; para tal fin, se usaron los primeros y segundos dígitos de los registros globales y estratificados por regiones, estaciones, densidad poblacional, indicadores de las condiciones de la vivienda y número de cabezas de ganado bovino. Resultados. El sistema de vigilancia epidemiológica se desempeñó mejor durante los periodos no epidémicos, y en los departamentos donde existen mejores condiciones de vivienda y pocas cabezas de ganado bovino. Conclusión. Dadas las diferencias de desempeño, se recomendó que el sistema mantenga la alerta incluso cuando no se espere un mayor número de casos. El método propuesto para evaluar la notificación de casos es fácil de transferir al personal operativo.

RESUMEN Introduction: Dengue is the most widespread arbovirus worldwide. In Paraguay, it reappeared in 1988-1989, with one of the largest epidemic outbreaks occurring in 2011. Objective: To evaluate the performance of the dengue epidemiological surveillance system in Paraguay between 2009 and 2011. Materials and methods: We conducted an ecological study with secondary epidemiological surveillance data. We analyzed notified cases of the disease based on the distribution expected by Benford's law. To this end, we used the first and second digits from the global records stratified by region, season, population density, indicators of housing conditions and heads of cattle. Results: The epidemiological surveillance system performed better during non-epidemic periods and in the states with better housing conditions and fewer heads of cattle. Conclusion: Given that a difference in the performance existed, we recommended that the system remains operating at the same high alert level even during periods when fewer cases are expected. The technology used by the method proposed to monitor the notification of cases is easy to transfer to operational staff.

Land suitability assessment in the catchment area of four Southwestern Atlantic coastal lagoons: multicriteria and optimization modeling.

In the present study, a land suitability assessment was conducted in the basin of four Uruguayan coastal lagoons (Southwestern Atlantic) to analyze the productive development while minimizing eutrophication, biodiversity loss and conflicts among different land uses. Suitable land for agriculture, forest, livestock ranching, tourism and conservation sectors were initially established based on a multi-attribute model developed using a geographic information system. Experts were consulted to determine the requirements for each land use sector and the incompatibilities among land use types. The current and potential conflicts among incompatible land use sectors were analyzed by overlapping land suitability maps. We subsequently applied a multi-objective model where land (pixels) with similar suitability was clustered into "land suitability groups", using a two-phase cluster analysis and the Akaike Information Criterion. Finally, a linear programming optimization procedure was applied to allocate land use sectors into land suitable groups, maximizing total suitability and minimizing interference among sectors. Results indicated that current land use overlapped by 4.7 % with suitable land of other incompatible sectors. However, the suitable land of incompatible sectors overlapped in 20.3 % of the study area, indicating a high potential for the occurrence of future conflict. The highest competition was between agriculture and conservation, followed by forest and agriculture. We explored scenarios where livestock ranching and tourism intensified, and found that interference with conservation and agriculture notably increased. This methodology allowed us to analyze current and potential land use conflicts and to contribute to the strategic planning of the study area.